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ELAN PROJECT <br />WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT NOVEMBER 2, 2017 <br />As shown above, a small deficit of 329 AF (less than 1 % of total demands) is projected for the <br />year 2020. These demand/supply numbers come from projections calculated within the City's <br />UWMP. As mentioned throughout this WSA, UWMPs are conservative in nature and tend to <br />overpredict demand. For example, there was a 23% decrease in water use in the City in 2015 <br />as to what was predicted to be used in the 2010 UWMP for the year 2015. Therefore, the <br />deficits shown in Table 10 above during the year 2020 will likely not occur due to the significant <br />decreases in demand as seen over the past several years. From 2025-2040, surplus supply of <br />approximately 2,000 AF is anticipated as well. As confirmed by the City's Water Utility <br />department, the deficit is not anticipated to be an issue for the Project or the City.72 The findings <br />of the Metropolitan 2015 UWMP and the City of Santa Ana 2015 UWMP confirm that the City <br />of Santa Ana will be able to supply water to growing demands within its service area including <br />the proposed Project through 2040 which satisfies the requirements of SB 610. <br />12 Personal communication with City's Water Utility department on 10/02/201 7. <br />FUSCOE ENGINEERING, INC. 26 <br />