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1/21/2020 Volt's Q4 2019 OC Office Market Report & 2020 Forecast — Just Released! • Orange County Office Space I Commercial Real Estate I Te <br />due to its concentration of new deliveries still in the initial lease -up phase. <br />Lease Rates <br />Rent growth in the OC office market leveled off in 2019. The average asking lease rate in Orange County rose by just 0,37% over the past year compared with 1.7% <br />nationwide. The average asking FSG monthly asking lease rate lost $0.09 In the fourth quarter, ending the period at $2.74. The average quoted rental rate for Class A <br />space was $3.10 per square foot, compared with the Class B asking rate of $2.47 per square foot. <br />Transaction Activity <br />Slow growth in the regions labor force has resulted in hiring challenges for many firms, and that may be impacting transaction velocity. Orange County's labor <br />market remains historically tight, with the unemployment rate holding at 2.5%. The total square feet leased and sold in the fourth quarter was approximately 3AM <br />SF, a significant slowdown from <br />the 5.OM SF of transactions in the fourth quarter of 2018. Downsizing into more open workspace to increase headcount and appeal to younger workers is also a <br />factor. <br />Employment <br />The unemployment rate in the OC office market was 2.5% in November 2019, unchanged from a revised 2.5% in October, and below the year-ago estimate of 2.7%. <br />This compares with an unadjusted unemployment rate of 3.7% for California and 3.3% for the nation during the same period. Localjob growth was evident across all <br />subsectors but financial services (up 1,200 jobs) and Government (up 2,200 jobs) led the way as the year ended. <br />Construction <br />Total space under construction in the OC office market ended the year at 795,177 square feet. In Costa Mesa, construction is underway at The Press located at 1375 <br />Sunflower Drive. This former L.A. Times printing facility is being converted into more than 300,000 square feet of creative office space to accommodate the shift in <br />demand from businesses looking to recruit and retain a younger workforce. The Source, located in the Irvine Spectrum, offers a two -building concept with common <br />atrium connectivity and more than 70,000 total square feet of rentable space. Irvine Company's build -to -suit for Alteryx Inc. at Spectrum Terrace 2 is also in the <br />works. The company will occupy the bulk of the project's 340,000 square foot second phase. The first phase is fully leased. <br />Absorption <br />Co -working tenants like WeWork have leased millions of square over the past few years and the current slowdown in that sector is partly responsible for the recent <br />decline in new transaction velocity. Orange County office occupancy grew by 167,588 square feet in the final quarter, bringing the year-to-date gain in occupied <br />space up to 707,160 square feet. The Airport Area submarket accounted for 260,089 square feet of that total. By product type, Class A office led the way with a net <br />gain of 314,790 square feet in just the fourth quarter. Notable transactions included: Avanir Pharmaceuticals (103,879 square feet in Aliso Viejo), County of Orange <br />Assessor (69,151 square feet in Orange), and WeWork (71,076 square feet in Irvine). <br />FORECAST <br />Lease Rates <br />Rent growth may pick up again as the absorption of the remaining first generation space gets leased up. With fewer attractive alternatives in the market, rent <br />growth should return to an annualized rate of 2-3% over the course of the year. <br />Vacancy Rates <br />We anticipate that the overall vacancy rate will remain in the 11-12% range over the next three quarters, but the Class A <br />sector will run somewhat higher due to its higher concentration of first generation space. <br />Overall <br />Signs of a global economic slowdown, concerns over US -China trade relations and a decline in the US GDP growth rate <br />motivated the Fed to cut its benchmark Federal Funds Rate 3 times in 2019. That effort to stimulate consumer spending and business investment seems to be <br />working. Equity markets responded by rising to new highs and the spread between short- and long-term US Treasuries widened again after a dangerous inversion <br />earlier in the year. The latest estimates for domestic GDP growth for 2020 are running in the low 2% range, which should be enough to keep the current economic <br />recovery on track. <br />For more information on the OC office apace market and how to capitalize on real estate opportunities to grow your business, contact Stefan Rogers <br />949,263.5362 / smgers®voitco.com. <br />Click HERE to download Volts Q4 2019 OC Office Space Market Report. (hhttl;.V/voitworks com/oc4g19off ) <br />#Forecast(https://voitworks.com/tag/forecast/), #OC oittps://voltworks.com/tag/oc/), #office space (https://voitworks.com/tag/office-spaceA, #orange <br />county (https://voitworks.com/tag/orange-county/), #volt quarterly market reports (https://voltworks.com/tag/voit-quarterly-market-reports/), #Voit Real <br />Estate Services (https://voitwort(s.com/tag/volt-real-estate-services/) <br />https://voitworks.com/2020/01/commercial-real-estate-news/voits-q4-2019-oc-office-market-report-2020-forecast-just-released/ 2/4 <br />