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Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan <br />arcadis.com <br />7-17 <br />DWR Submittal Table 7-5: Five-Year Drought Risk Assessment Tables to <br />address Water Code Section 10635(b) <br />Surplus/Shortfall w/o WSCP Action 0 <br />Planned WSCP Actions (use reduction and supply augmentation) <br />WSCP - supply augmentation benefit 0 <br />WSCP - use reduction savings benefit 0 <br />Revised Surplus/(shortfall)0 <br />Resulting % Use Reduction from WSCP action 0% <br />Note: Groundwater is sustainably managed through the BPP and robust management measures (Section <br />6.3.4 and Appendix G), direct and indirect recycled water uses provide additional local supply (Section <br />6.6), and based on MET’s UWMP, imported water is available to close any potable water supply gap that <br />local sources cannot meet (Section 7.5.1). <br />7.5.3 Water Source Reliability <br />Locally, approximately 77% (BPP for Water Year 2021-22) of the City’s total water supply can rely on <br />OC Basin groundwater through FY 2024-25. The BPP is projected to increase to 85% starting in <br />FY 2024-25. Based on various storage thresholds and hydrologic conditions, OCWD, who manages the <br />OC Basin, has numerous management measures that can be taken, such as adjusting the BPP or <br />seeking additional supplies to refill the basin, to ensure the reliability of the Basin. For more information <br />on the OC Basin’s management efforts, refer to Section 6.3. <br />Additionally, the City’s use of direct (OCWD GAP) and indirect recycled water (OCWD GWRS) should <br />also be considered. The ability to continue producing water locally greatly improves the City’s water <br />reliability. More detail on these programs is available in Section 6.6 . <br />Furthermore, as discussed in Section 6.2 the City has a 10-year purchase agreement with MET that sets <br />a minimum and maximum volume of water to be purchased from MET annually, and over the 10-year <br />contract term. Currently, the City is not currently purchasing near the maximum levels. As so, the City is <br />contractually able to purchase significantly more MET water should the need arise. <br />Moreover, although they would not normally be considered part of the City’s water portfolio, the <br />emergency interconnections the City has with the surrounding Cities of Costa Mesa, Fountain Valley, <br />Garden Grove, Orange, Tustin, and Southern California Water Company could help mitigate any water <br />supply shortages, though shortages are not expected. Emergency interconnections are described in <br />Section 6.8. <br />The City’s DRA concludes that its water supplies meet total water demand, assuming a five-year <br />consecutive drought from FY 2020-21 through FY 2024-25 (Table 7-5). For simplicity, the table shows <br />supply to balance the modeled demand in the table. However, based on the purchase agreement the City