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City of Santa Ana Emergency Operations Plan <br />Part I Basic Plan <br />Earthquake as a Threat to Orange County - There are a large variety of earthquake events that could potentially <br />affect Orange County and the City of Santa Ana. Figure 34 above shows the location of known faults in or near <br />Orange County. <br />Predicted ground shaking patterns throughout Southern California for hypothetical scenario earthquakes are <br />available from the United States Geological Survey as part of their on -going "ShakeMap" program. A ShakeMap <br />is a representation of ground shaking produced by an earthquake. The information it presents is different from <br />earthquake magnitude and epicenter because ShakeMap focuses on the ground shaking produced by the <br />earthquake, rather than the earthquake source or energy released. Therefore, while an earthquake has one <br />magnitude and one epicenter, it produces a range of ground shaking levels at sites throughout the region depending <br />on distance from the earthquake, the rock and soil conditions at specific locations, and variations in the seismic <br />waves from the earthquake due to the structure of the Earth's crust. <br />Earthquake scenarios are not earthquake predictions. That is, no one knows in advance when, where or how large <br />a future earthquake will be. However, if we make assumptions about the size and location of a hypothetical future <br />earthquake, we can make a reasonable prediction of the effects of the assumed earthquake, particularly the way in <br />which the ground will shake. This knowledge of the potential shaking effects is the main benefit of the earthquake <br />scenario for planning and preparedness purposes. <br />The following maps describe earthquakes in terms of Instrumental Intensity, which is a Modified Mercalli <br />Intensity estimated from instrumental ground motion recordings. Figure 42 below provides the Modified Mercalli <br />Intensity (MMI) Scale: <br />41 <br />