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FY 2023-24 Third Quarter Budget Report and Proposed Appropriation Adjustments <br />June 4, 2024 <br />Page 3 <br />Through March 31, 2024, the City received $253.7 million in General Fund revenues, <br />which is 63.3% of annual estimates. After analyzing revenues through March 2024, staff <br />has adjusted estimates for various revenues to align with expectations. In particular, <br />Sales Tax has continued a downward trend, with lower tax receipts across most <br />economic segments, particularly in general retail and transportation. This declining trend <br />is not expected to change until later in 2024. <br />• The original budget estimate for Bradley -Burns was $67.7 million. The First <br />Quarter and Mid -Year budget report included overall adjustments to reduce the <br />revenue estimate by $3.6 million. With the most recent quarterly update, the <br />City's Sales Tax consultant noted a decrease in the Transportation and General <br />Retail (i.e., New Auto Sales) sectors. Therefore, the City's Sales Tax consultant <br />is projecting a further reduction of $1,626,700, bringing the revised Sales Tax <br />estimate to $59,415,306. <br />• The original budget estimate for Measure X was $88.6 million. The First Quarter <br />and Mid -Year budget report included overall adjustments to reduce the revenue <br />estimate by $2.9 million. With the most recent quarterly update, the City's Sales <br />Tax consultant noted a decrease from the Transportation and General Retail <br />(i.e., New Auto Sales) sector. Therefore, the City's Sales Tax consultant is <br />projecting a further reduction of $2,333,460, bringing the revised Sales Tax <br />estimate to $83,360,040. <br />• Due to a higher -than -anticipated payment from Southern California Gas <br />Company, the estimate for the annual Franchise payment can be increased by <br />$247,465 for a revised total budget of $797,465. The higher payment is attributed <br />to a prolonged winter with below average seasonal temperatures, resulting in <br />higher demand. <br />• The annual Electric Franchise payment from Southern California Edison was also <br />higher than originally estimated due to the multiple rate increases that occurred <br />in 2023. Therefore, staff is recommending an increase of $417,090 bringing the <br />new estimate to a total of $1,817,086. <br />• Because the Utility Users Tax is imposed on the consumer, Southern California <br />Edison's rate increases have also affected Utility Users Tax -Electric revenue, <br />resulting in consumers paying more than originally projected. Consequently, staff <br />is recommending a further increase of $500,000, bringing the revised total <br />budget to $17,300,000. <br />• Investment earnings continue to outpace estimates due to higher interest rates <br />and American Rescue Plan Act (ARPA) cash balances. Many of the City's <br />projects funded with ARPA take time to complete (e.g. Main Library renovation <br />and Memorial Park), which means the City has been holding ARPA cash. Due to <br />these two factors, staff is comfortable increasing estimates by $1,000,000, for a <br />new total of $4,900,000. <br />• Based on actual and expected collections, staff proposes increasing permit <br />revenues by $1,458,900. This is primarily due to large construction projects for <br />residential and mixed -use development on The Warner, 4th & Mortimer, The <br />Legado at the Met, Central Pointe, and Third & Broadway. The plan check <br />