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<br />." <br /> <br />In performing the sensitivity analysis, Empire Economics will utilize a special model that it has <br />designed for such pUlJloses, referred to as the Monthly Payment Model. Specifically, from the <br />perspective of a prospective home purchaser, the household's income level, along with the bank's <br />qualifYing criteria, determine what the household can afford. The monthly payment, in turn, is based <br />upon the mortgage for the home (80% of the price) along with the mortgage rate as well as the ad <br />Valorem and Special Assessments/Taxes. Thus, the Monthly Payment Model can be utilized to <br />evaluate the potential impact of the higher mortgage rates. <br /> <br />5. Personnel Assi!med to the Studv <br /> <br />The principal consultant for the Market Absorption Study is Dr. Joseph T. Janczyk. He will design the economic <br />real estate model for CFD No. 2005-0 I and present the conclusions to the City of Santa Ana and the Financing <br />Team. Additionally, he will be assisted by his staff which will be responsible for the compilation of the <br />economic and real estate data required for the research and also conduct market field surveys. Furthermore, Dr. <br />Janczyk will provide the key results in a convenient format to each of the other professionals, and will discuss <br />these with them, including the Special Tax Analyst, Appraiser, Financial Advisor and the Underwriter: <br /> <br />· Appraiser: Empire Economics will provide the Appraiser with absorption schedules for each of <br />the product types, with respect to the number of units/acres absorbed each year, from market- <br />entry to build-out. <br /> <br />· Special Tax Analvst: Empire Economics will also provide the Special Tax Analyst with the <br />estimated absorption schedules by various product types, so that the amount of Special <br />Assessments that are expected to be paid by the developerlbuilder (as compared to the rmal- <br />users/homeowners) can be calculated. <br /> <br />· Finance Team: Empire Economics will provide copies of the Market Absorption Study to the <br />members of the finance team in the Bond Issue and furnish a "Summary and Conclusions" of <br />the Market Absorption Study for use in the Official Statement. <br /> <br />Finally, the Market Absorption Study, Sununary and Delivery Letter will be distributed via E-Mail in PDF <br />format to facilitate its distribution and also its use in the Official Statement. <br /> <br />6. No Contractual Relationships with the Developer/Builder <br /> <br />Empire Economics conducts market absorption studies onlv for governmental entities, and this has provided <br />numerous public entities with a high level of comfort. By comparison, other firms that provide services to <br />developerslbuilders may encounter "conflicts of interest" in trying to represent both the private and public <br />sectors. Empire Economics' approach of representing the public sector also enhances the credibility of the study <br />in the municipal marketplace. <br /> <br />Specifically, Empire Economics has not had any past contractual relationship with the owner/developerlbuilder <br />in CFD No. 2005-01: <br /> <br />>- Empire Economics has not performed any consulting services for the CFD's property owners nor <br />the developerlbuilder during at least the past five+ years. <br /> <br />>- Empire Economics will not perform any consulting services for the CFD's property owners nor the <br />developerlbuilder during at least the next three years. <br /> <br />6 <br />