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• Powerpoint presentation summarizing inventory results Task 2_ GHG Emissions Forecast A business-as-usual forecast is critical in determining realistic emissions reduction targets and the extent of measures necessary to achieve them. AECOM will lead the development of emissions forecasts for multiple horizon years, with technical input from ICLEI. Fehr and Peers will lead the development of the transportation-related emissions forecast, ensuring comparability with techniques utilized in modeling the Orange County Sustainable Communities Strategy (OC SCS). Within this task, AECOM will estimate projected municipal and community-scale emissions for recommended horizon years of 2020 and 2035. AECOM will forecast the City's and community's projected emissions using historical trends and future growth projections. To develop an accurate projection of GHG emissions, AECOM recommends evaluating each emissions sector and selecting the best indicator to project future emissions for that sector individually. Sources of information on projected and historical growth and consumption trends that may be relied upon to develop emissions projections could include, but are not limited to, land use data from the General Plan, demographic data from the California Department of Finance, consumption data and forecasts from Southern California Edison and Southern California Gas Company, the Energy Information Administration (U.S. Department of Energy), and vehicle travel activity data from the traffic model. For the government operations inventory, AECOM will work with departmental staff to gather information on projected changes to government operations, such as new facilities, growth in fleet size, and other key data that would affect the inventory. Emissions forecasts will also take into account the foreseeable changes to the regulatory and technological environmen#s affecting GHG emissions (e.g., Renewable Portfolio Standards, California Green Building Code standards, and Pavley vehicle emission control standards). Without accounting for these factors, future GHG emissions could be overestimated, which in turn would overstate the CAP's GHG reduction potential. Task 2 Work Products • Technical memorandum describing GHG forecast and assumptions for 2020 and 2035 • Workbook of supporting data Phase 2: develop Emissions Reduction Targets, Climate Action Plan, Implementation Strategy, and Monitoring Materials ICLEI will lead the development of targets, the Climate Action Plan, the associated implementation strategy, and monitoring documents in the second phase of the project, with support from AECOM, Global Green, and Fehr and Peers. While funding has been secured for target-setting and the energy component of the CAP (Phase 2A, Core 13