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City of Santa Ana, CA I WATER RATE STUDY <br />Table B - 9: Summary of PoF Criteria used in this Analysis <br />PoF Criteria <br />Weight <br />Comment <br />Strategy / Assumption <br />Cohort Rank (0- <br />60% <br />Assigned values 0 -5 <br />Cohort 5, High PoF Score: 1970s / 1980s Ductile Iron Pipe and High <br />5 values) <br />range, multiply by 2 <br />Pressure 36" MWD Transmission Line <br />to get values 0 to 10 <br />Cohort 4, Med -High PoF Score: Asbestos Cement Pipe installed before <br />1940 <br />Cohort 3, Med PoF Score: Cast Iron Pipe installed before 1960 <br />Cohort 2, Med -Low PoF Score: Cast Iron Pipe Installed after 1960 <br />Cohort 1, Low PoF Score: Asbestos Cement Pipe Installed after 1940 <br />Cohort 0, Very Low PoF Score: All other pipe materials and installation <br />years <br />Pipe Vintage <br />40% <br />Assigned values <br />Pipes installed before 1940 were assigned a score of 10 <br />(age) <br />based on assumption <br />Pipes installed in 1940 or after were assigned a decreasing linear score <br />that older pipes are <br />from 10 to 1 <br />more likely to fail <br />1970s and 1980s Ductile Pipe was considered 0 percent <br />Repeated <br />n/a <br />Additive: based on <br />2 or more previous failures: add 2 to final PoF score <br />Failures <br />assumption that if a <br />1 previous failure: add 1 to final PoF score <br />pipe fails once, there <br />is a higher probability <br />Never failed: keep final PoF score <br />that it will fail again <br />Total (sum of <br />100% <br />The resulting PoF <br />above) <br />I <br />I scores are 0 to 10. <br />By applying the weighting described above (60% Cohort Score, 40% Age, and 0% Failures) to each of the <br />21,477 active main pipeline segments in the Santa Ana Water System, a 0 to 10 PoF Score was calculated <br />for each and the distribution is shown in Figure B - 27 below. Figure B - 28 provides a map of water <br />mains color coded by total PoF score. <br />BLACK & VEATCH I Appendix B: Water CIP Prioritization erocess <br />65B -125 <br />113 <br />