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WAFER RAI"E Si JOYS City of Santa Ana, CA <br />Figure ES - 2: Number of Breaks per Mile of Pipe by Installed Decade and Material <br />mAc ■CI it YCYL ■DI ■PVC HSTL HUNK <br />AC= Asbestos Concrete CYL = Pre-stressed Concrete STL — Steel <br />Cl = Cast Iron DI = Ductile Iron LINK = Unknown <br />CMLC = Cement Mortar -Lined & Coated Steel PVC = Poly Vinyl Chloride <br />In order to produce an R &R program, Black & Veatch conducted a high -level asset condition review <br />using City - provided Geographic Information System (GIS) data and available condition reports for the <br />water system. Black & Veatch evaluated the available data and held two workshops with engineering <br />and maintenance staff to develop weighting factors for the asset assessment. Combining the condition <br />reports and workshop results, Black & Veatch determined the Probability of Failure (PoF) and the <br />Consequence of Failure (CoF). The PoF is a measurement of the likelihood that a particular asset will fail. <br />The PoF score is arrived at by weighing factors such as the physical properties of the asset (material, age, <br />etc.), the conditions of the surrounding environment (soil conditions, earthquake faults, etc.), and <br />operational history. The CoF assesses the relative importance of each pipe in terms of delivery levels of <br />service, economics, and health and safety. Criteria weighed in determining a CoF score include, but are <br />not limited to, pipe size, critical customer impacts, and proximity to major roads. <br />The product of the PoF and the CoF results in the Business Risk Exposure (BRE) — the higher the BRE <br />score, the higher the likelihood that the asset requires attention. <br />Without detailed condition assessment information, Black & Veatch cannot quantify the absolute risk of <br />failure; instead, the analysis conducted herein provides a picture of the relative risk of failure. In other <br />words, the analysis indicates which assets are more likely to fail in relation to other system assets. On its <br />own, the BRE score is not sufficient to develop a Capital Improvement Program (CIP). Consequently, <br />Black & Veatch developed R &R strategies reflecting how public agencies tend to conduct work — <br />4 <br />65B -16 <br />NOVEMBER 2014 <br />