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Table ES - 2: Economic Impact of Delaying Proposed CIP <br />Households <br />SEWER RATE STUDY I City of Santa Ana, CA <br />$129,700 - $1,078,500 Total household claim payments. <br />Businesses $324,100 - $2,696,300 Total business claim payments. <br />Local Economy $1,577,400 - $13,122,200 Range depends on the severity of breaks. <br />Total $2,031,200 - $16,897,000 . <br />Black & Veatch recommends that the Sewer Enterprise initiate a program that will help establish <br />recommended reserve balances for both its operational and capital needs over the planning period, as <br />well as a $1 million emergency fund. Given the level of infrastructure in critical condition, establishing an <br />emergency fund to address unexpected main breaks would be prudent. <br />For the analyses conducted herein, forecasted operations and maintenance (0 &M) expenses are based <br />on an inflation rate of 2 percent for personnel, 4 percent for benefits, 3 percent for maintenance, 2 <br />percent for general and administrative (G &A), and 5 percent for utilities. <br />• Status Quo Scenario. Under the Status Quo Scenario, implementing no revenue increases over <br />the planning period results in the Sewer Enterprise running a deficit starting in FY 2016. By the <br />end of the planning period, the cumulative deficit position grows to ($14.1 million). <br />• Scenario 1. The implementation of annual revenue increases allows the Sewer Enterprise to <br />maintain a positive balance in the Operating Fund while still executing the proposed CIP. Table <br />ES 3 summarizes the proposed revenue adjustments for the proposed scenario examined. All <br />increases are effective July 1 of the fiscal year, except for FY 14/15, which has a March 1, 2015 <br />effective date. <br />Table ES - 3: Proposed Revenue Adjustments <br />14 <br />March 2015 <br />8.8% <br />July 2015 <br />8.8% <br />July 2016 <br />8.8% <br />July 2017 <br />8.8% <br />July 2018 <br />8.8% <br />65B -173 <br />NOVEMBER 20 14 <br />