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SANTA ANA CLIMATE ACTION PLAN INITIAL STUDY <br />CITY OF SANTA ANA <br />Figure 3: Community -wide 2008 Baseline GHG Emissions <br />Sol <br />Ge <br />Transportation <br />and Land Usc <br />Commercial /- <br />Industrial Energy <br />Use <br />29% <br />Santa Ana's GHG emissions levels were also projected for the years 2020 and 2035 to determine the emission <br />reductions needed to achieve the City's goal. Projections were calculated for a trend scenario, also known as a <br />business -as -usual scenario, which assumes that historical emission trends would continue. Under this <br />scenario, Santa Ana's community -wide GHG emissions are expected to increase by 5% to approximately 2.06 <br />MMTCO2e in 2020 and by 11% to 2.17 MMTCO2C in 2035. To meet the City's 2020 goal of 15% below 2008 <br />baseline emissions, Santa Ana will need to reduce its GHG emissions from 2.06 to 1.66 MMTCO2e by 2020. <br />This goal would require a reduction of 400,000 MTCO2e. To meet the City's 2035 goal of 30% below 2008 <br />baseline emissions, Santa Ana will need to reduce its GHG emissions from 2.17 to 1.37 MMTCO2e by 2035. <br />This is a reduction of 800,000 MTCO2e. <br />Municipal operations emissions were estimated to be 31,413 MTCO2e, or about 1.6% of the City's total <br />community -wide emissions. The largest source of municipal emissions was energy consumption within the <br />buildings and facilities sector, which accounted for 31% of all municipal emissions. The City municipal staff <br />has decreased significantly in recent years, and may decrease further in conning years. Because of this trend it <br />was assumed that no growth would occur in municipal operations; therefore, business -as -usual municipal <br />operations emissions in 2020 and 2035 are expected to be the same as in 2008. <br />1.6.2 GHG EMISSION REDUCTION MEASURES <br />Several initiatives are underway that improve quality of life in Santa Ana while reducing carbon pollution. <br />These existing climate action measures were implemented or planned for prior to the development of the <br />Draft CAP. The existing measures include emissions reductions that were achieved between 2008 and 2012, <br />and emissions reductions that are planned for but not yet implemented, such as long range transportation <br />plans. The emissions reductions associated with the existing measures were estimated and subtracted from <br />2015 Page 7 <br />75B -105 <br />