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City of Santa Ana —Santa Ana Zoo Economic Impact Study Marcie 29, 2019 <br />Zoo Advisors, LLC Page 2 <br />Methodology <br />Our work includes the following elements: <br />• Phase 1: Data Gathering and Analysis <br />• Phase It: Economic Impact Study <br />• Phase III: Interpretation and Presentation of Findings <br />Phase I: Data Gathering and Analysis <br />During the first phase of the engagement (which we have already begun) we will request from <br />the Zoo a wide-ranging set of historical operating and financial data, as well as the current <br />master plan iteration of record. <br />We will consolidate and organize data from disparate sources and operating areas into a <br />historical dataset of the last three years of operations at the Zoo, which will take into account <br />attendance, membership, visitor origins, education and volunteer programs, financial <br />performance, and capital projects. <br />We will utilize this dataset to update attendance projections associated with the master plan we <br />previously created, and turn them into a more complete pro forma model. This pro forma <br />model, which will be approved by the client, will project the operating metrics required for the <br />economic impact research. <br />The purpose of this exercise will be to confirm and prepare the data for use in the IMPLAN <br />input-output model, which is the basis for Phase 11 of the engagement: the economic impact <br />research. <br />Phase 11; Economic Impact Study <br />To adequately measure the economic impact and job creation in different industry segments <br />attributable to operations and capital investment at the Zoo, our economic impact analysis will <br />use established economic development practices. In our study we will calculate the direct, <br />indirect and induced effects of the Zoo using proven input-output methodology and the IMPLAN <br />economic impact model, Input -Output analysis is a methodology used by economic developers <br />and governmental agencies to forecast the effects of an economic activity on a particular region <br />or regions; in this case, the City of Santa Ana and Orange County. <br />Direct Effects <br />Economic impact analyses are used to estimate the impact of activity or business on a <br />region. The economic impact model begins with a delineation of payments between a <br />regional economy's primary institutions (firms, households, and governments). The system <br />of economic impacts can be understood by linking the dollar outputs from a given industry <br />to the dollar inputs required from supporting industries and the dollar inputs required from <br />households. Every dollar of a new output from an industry is connected to the level of new <br />support required from related industries and regional households. <br />Economic impacts are estimated as responses to an external stimulus such as tourism, The <br />change in final demand for regional production (in the regional market) triggered by the <br />stimulus is referred to as the direct effect. <br />