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Honorable Members of the Santa Ana City Council <br />The Bowery Project FEIR <br />August 18, 2020 <br />Page 3 <br />minute walking distance), it is likely to be impacted by the proposed project. The FEIR, however, <br />does not evaluate the project's potential impacts to this park. <br />5. The project's potential traffic impacts have been grossly understated. First, the Santa Ana and City <br />of Tustin level of service (LOS) Guidelines require a Clearance Interval or "Lost Time" input of 5 <br />seconds (or .05). (Santa Ana Guidelines Excerpt, Attachment E.) This input has been erroneously <br />left out of the project's Intersection Capacity Utilization (ICU) calculation. When corrected with <br />the lost time reflected in the ICU calculation, the project would adversely impact the intersection <br />of Red Hill Avenue/Warner, a major intersection adjacent to the project, resulting in an <br />unacceptable level of service/significant impact during the PM peak hour (i.e., no -project and <br />with -project PM ICU=0.794/LOS "D" and ICU=0.899/ LOS "D," respectively, would be 0.844/LOS <br />"D" and 0.949/LOS "E", respectively). This was not disclosed in the EIR, nor was any correction / <br />mitigation identified to address this unacceptable level of service / significant impact. Even if <br />Santa Ana takes the position that LOS is not a relevant CEQA consideration, this error undermines <br />Santa Ana's conclusion that the proposed project is consistent with its General Plan. (Santa Ana <br />Municipal Code § 27-21; General Plan Policies 1.4, 1.6, 4.3.) This EIR should not be certified, and <br />this project should not be approved, until these fatal flaws are corrected. <br />6. Further, in reviewing the project trip generation (the project land uses from January 2020), the <br />pass -by and internal trip discounts show a peak hour reduction ranging between 28% and 48%. <br />The highest reduction applies to the PM peak outbound project traffic. Using such percentages is <br />not a conservative approach, and appears to minimize the need for project mitigation. The high <br />PM peak outbound traffic percentage discount is particularly problematic because the Red Hill <br />Avenue/Warner Avenue intersection is nearing an unacceptable operating capacity (i.e., ICU > 0.90 <br />or above) in the PM peak hour with the project. Any reduction in the PM peak hour discounts <br />would show an adverse impact to the intersection by the project. This approach masks the true <br />nature and scope of the project's impacts. When the current industrial land use trips are <br />subtracted, the results show even greater trip discount percentages. (Attachment D.) <br />To analyze off -site traffic impacts for a project as intense as the Bowery (a daily trip generation of <br />15,303, and AM and PM peak hour trips of 1,012 and 1,315) that replaces non-residential with <br />residential/mixed-use, a traffic model such as the Irvine Transportation Analysis Model (ITAM) <br />should have been used with proposed project land uses input into the "model run." Trip discounts <br />are reflected in forecasts and are derived in the traffic modeling process. Traffic models take into <br />account trips from all land uses and their relationship to each other (i.e., employment to home) <br />and not just for a single project. The ITE Trip Generation Handbook, utilized in the Bowery traffic <br />study, lacks the interaction with local and regional traffic such as presented in a traffic model and <br />should only be used when a model is not available. <br />As also mentioned in the City of Tustin's previous comments, the nearby Heritage Mixed -Use <br />Project used a more conservative approach. Specifically, it used a 5% internal discount and did not <br />consider pass -by trips. Notably, the Heritage Project identified an impact to the Red Hill <br />Avenue/Warner Avenue intersection. It is curious at best that the project does not have any <br />impact at this intersection, especially when the Heritage project is further from the intersection, <br />with less development intensity and trip generation. Without the use of the traffic model such as <br />1514217.1 <br />