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05-11-20_AGENDA PACKET
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05-11-20_AGENDA PACKET
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Santa Ana Redhill Development <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />Prepared for: City of Santa Ana <br /> <br />AECOM <br />10 <br /> <br />Figure 2: Recent Multifamily Development and Pipeline <br /> <br />Source: ESRI, Costar, AECOM <br /> <br />Table 2: Current Development Pipeline in 3 Districts <br />Current Development Pipeline in 3 Districts <br /> Dyer South Irvine Bus Com Tustin Legacy Total <br />Multifamily (units) <br /> <br />1,221* 4,473 0 5,694 <br />Retail (SF) 25,200 37,816 0 63,016 <br />Office (SF) 56,000 426,000 50,000 532,000 <br />Flex (SF) 0 239,000 0 239,000 <br />Hotel (rooms) 0 168 0 168 <br />Health Care (SF) 0 424,413 0 424,413 <br />* These are units associated with the Heritage project which are currently included in the CoStar pipeline. <br />Source: Costar, AECOM <br /> <br /> <br />The recent and proposed development patterns occurring in the adjacent areas indicate a general shift from <br />traditional industrial uses towards more residential and mixed-use development. Nonetheless, the region within a 2- <br />mile radius of the Site maintains a strong concentration of industrial and professional office space that generates <br />employment and economic growth for the County and, coupled with the existing inventory of these uses and existing <br />residential units, forms the backbone of potential quantifiable supportable retail demand. For this reason, AECOM <br />has analyzed demographic trends and projections from a variety of geographies to better contextualize the demand <br />for both the proposed uses of the Project and the Industrial Prototype. <br /> <br />Demographic Trends <br />SCAG projections estimate that Santa Ana will experience limited growth in households and employment between <br />2020 and 2040; however, there is already more residential inventory in the Santa Ana pipeline than is included in <br />these forecast estimates for this entire timeframe. Residential vacancy rates in Santa Ana and Orange County have <br />consistently remained below structural occupancy and, as already noted, the Project’s residential orientation is <br />towards the Orange County housing market and to some extent the region beyond. As such, continued growth of <br /> <br />Built >2010 <br />Under Construction <br />Proposed <br />3-237
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