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Cabrillo at First Mixed-Use Residential <br /> Air Quality, Global Climate Change, HRA, and Energy Impact Analysis <br /> 42 19386 <br />cancer risk is 365 in a million. This increased cancer risk at the project site is largely due to the proximity to <br />the Interstate 5 freeway. <br /> <br />To determine the potential health risk from freeway emissions sources to the future residents of the project <br />site, a health risk estimate was performed. <br /> <br />ESTIMATE OF EMISSIONS FACTORS <br /> <br />The DPM emission factors for the various vehicle types were derived from the CARB EMFAC2021 mobile <br />source emission model for the South Coast Air Basin. PM 2.5 exhaust emissions are used as a surrogate for <br />DPM. The 1-year exposure used opening year (2023) emissions factors and reflects exposure during third <br />trimester, 2-year factors (for infant exposure) reflect years 2024 and 2025, the first 14-year average factors <br />are used for child exposure during years 2-16) reflect emissions during the subsequent 14 years of operation <br />(2026 to 2039), and the second 14 years of exposure (years 2040-205310) were used for assessment of adult <br />exposure during years 16 to 30. The four different sets of emissions factors used in this assessment are <br />detailed in Table 10. It should be noted that the DPM emissions on both the gram per mile and gram per idle <br />hour bases have declined beyond 2022 for all vehicle classes and in particular the heavy-heavy-duty truck <br />class (the 4+ axle “big rig” trucks). This is due to the CARB emissions’ requirements on heavy-duty trucks that <br />call for either the replacement of older trucks with cleaner trucks or the installation of diesel particulate matter <br />filters on the truck fleet. <br /> <br />Emission Source Characterization <br /> <br />Each of the emission source types described above also requires geometrical and emission release <br />specifications for use in the air dispersion model. As the majority of the freeway-related diesel emissions are <br />sourced from big rig-type trucks, an average truck height of 13.5 feet and average truck width of 8.5 feet <br />were entered into the haul road calculator in AERMOD in order to calculate the plume height and release <br />height for the line sources. Table 11 provides a summary of the assumptions used to configure the various <br />emission sources. The following definitions are used to characterize the emission source geometrical <br />configurations referred to in Table 11: <br /> <br />Line source: A series of volume sources along a path, for example, vehicular volumes along a roadway (shown <br />as blue lines on Figure 3). <br /> <br />Figure 3 provides the location of the receptors (shown by orange triangles) and emission source locations, <br />shown by the blue line along each direction of the freeway (as the emissions are calculated for both the <br />northbound and southbound lanes of the freeway). The residential area is outlined in pink. <br /> <br />RECEPTOR NETWORK <br /> <br />The assessment requires that a network of receptors be specified where the impacts can be computed at the <br />various locations. Receptors were located at the closest proposed sensitive receptor locations to the Interstate <br />5 Freeway (as detailed above). To ensure all impacts were evaluated, a receptor was also located in the <br />recreation area on the project site. In addition, the identified sensitive receptor locations were supplemented <br />by the specification of a modeling grid that extended around the proposed project to identify other potential <br />locations of impact. The locations of the receptors are shown as orange triangles on Figure 3 and labeled 1 <br />through 12. The recreation area is labeled as rec area_13. <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />10 EMFAC2021 only estimates emissions factors out to the year 2050; therefore, for years beyond 2050, the values for 2050 are used. <br />426/27/2022 <br />Planning Commission 2 –95