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3 <br /> <br />Screening-Level Analysis Demonstrates Potentially Significant Health Risk Impact <br />In order to conduct our screening-level risk assessment we relied upon AERSCREEN, which is a screening <br />level air quality dispersion model.5 As discussed above, the model replaced SCREEN3, and AERSCREEN is <br />included in the OEHHA and the California Air Pollution Control Officers Associated (“CAPCOA”) guidance <br />as the appropriate air dispersion model for Level 2 health risk screening assessments (“HRSAs”).6, 7 A <br />Level 2 HRSA utilizes a limited amount of site-specific information to generate maximum reasonable <br />downwind concentrations of air contaminants to which nearby sensitive receptors may be exposed. If an <br />unacceptable air quality hazard is determined to be possible using AERSCREEN, a more refined modeling <br />approach is required prior to approval of the Project. <br />We prepared a preliminary HRA of the Project’s construction and operational health risk impact to <br />residential sensitive receptors using the annual PM10 exhaust estimates from the EA’s CalEEMod output <br />files, provided within the Greenhouse Gas Emissions Assessment (“GHG Assessment”) as Appendix F to <br />the EA. Consistent with recommendations set forth by OEHHA, we assumed residential exposure begins <br />during the third trimester stage of life.8 The EA’s CalEEMod model indicates that construction activities <br />will generate approximately 125 pounds of DPM over the 363-day construction period.9 The AERSCREEN <br />model relies on a continuous average emission rate to simulate maximum downward concentrations <br />from point, area, and volume emission sources. To account for the variability in equipment usage and <br />truck trips over Project construction, we calculated an average DPM emission rate by the following <br />equation: <br />𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠 𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅 �𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑅𝑅𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝑅𝑅𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠�= 124.6 𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝐸𝐸363 𝑠𝑠𝑅𝑅𝑑𝑑𝐸𝐸 × 453.6 𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑅𝑅𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝐸𝐸 × 1 𝑠𝑠𝑅𝑅𝑑𝑑24 ℎ𝑠𝑠𝑜𝑜𝑔𝑔𝐸𝐸 × 1 ℎ𝑠𝑠𝑜𝑜𝑔𝑔3,600 𝐸𝐸𝑅𝑅𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝐸𝐸 =𝟎𝟎.𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎 𝒈𝒈/𝒔𝒔 <br />Using this equation, we estimated a construction emission rate of 0.00180 grams per second (“g/s”). <br />Subtracting the 363-day construction period from the total residential duration of 30 years, we assumed <br />that after Project construction, the sensitive receptor would be exposed to the Project’s operational <br />DPM for an additional 29.01 years. The EA’s operational CalEEMod emissions indicate that operational <br />activities will generate approximately 340 pounds of DPM per year throughout operation. Applying the <br />same equation used to estimate the construction DPM rate, we estimated the following emission rate <br />for Project operation: <br />𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠 𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅 �𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑅𝑅𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝑅𝑅𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠�= 340.0 𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝐸𝐸 365 𝑠𝑠𝑅𝑅𝑑𝑑𝐸𝐸 × 453.6 𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑅𝑅𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝐸𝐸 × 1 𝑠𝑠𝑅𝑅𝑑𝑑24 ℎ𝑠𝑠𝑜𝑜𝑔𝑔𝐸𝐸 × 1 ℎ𝑠𝑠𝑜𝑜𝑔𝑔3,600 𝐸𝐸𝑅𝑅𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝐸𝐸=𝟎𝟎.𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎 𝒈𝒈/𝒔𝒔 <br /> <br /> <br />5 “AERSCREEN Released as the EPA Recommended Screening Model,” U.S. EPA, April 2011, available at: <br />http://www.epa.gov/ttn/scram/guidance/clarification/20110411_AERSCREEN_Release_Memo.pdf <br />6 “Risk Assessment Guidelines: Guidance Manual for Preparation of Health Risk Assessments.” OEHHA, February <br />2015, available at: https://oehha.ca.gov/media/downloads/crnr/2015guidancemanual.pdf. <br />7 “Health Risk Assessments for Proposed Land Use Projects.” CAPCOA, July 2009, available at: <br />http://www.capcoa.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/CAPCOA_HRA_LU_Guidelines_8-6-09.pdf. <br />8 “Risk Assessment Guidelines: Guidance Manual for Preparation of Health Risk Assessments.” OEHHA, February <br />2015, available at: https://oehha.ca.gov/media/downloads/crnr/2015guidancemanual.pdf, p. 8-18. <br />9 See Attachment A for health risk calculations.