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Addictive Behaviors Reports 8(2018)95-101 <br />Contents lists available at ienceDirect <br />Addictive Behaviors Reports <br />ELSMER journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/abrep <br />Measurement and predictive value of susceptibility to cigarettes, <br />e-cigarettes, cigars, and hookah among Texas adolescents pdates <br />Felicia R. Carey, Anna V. Wilkinson, Melissa B. Harrell% Elisabeth A. Cohn, Cheryl L. Perry <br />Michael&Susan Dell Center for Healthy Living,University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston,School of Public Health in Austin,1616 Guadalupe S4 Suite 6.300, <br />Austin,TX 78701,United States of America <br />ABSTRACT <br />Susceptibility to cigarette smoking,defined as the lack of a firm commitment not to smoke in the future,begins in childhood and is a phase in the transition from <br />never to ever use of cigarettes.While a consistent and validated predictor of cigarette use,little research has assessed whether the susceptibility construct applies <br />equally well across other tobacco products.Baseline data were collected in 2014-2015 from a representative sample of(n=2844)middle and high school students in <br />five counties surrounding the four largest cities in Texas,(49%female and mean age 13.13 years,with subsequent waves at 6,12,and 18 months.Confirmatory factor <br />analysis examined the appropriateness of a three-item susceptibility measure(product-specific curiosity,intention to use,and peer influence)across product types <br />and ethnic groups (Hispanic versus non-Hispanic). Logistic regression examined whether product specific susceptibility at baseline predicted future product in- <br />itiation. At baseline, 11.5%, 17.0%, 17.4% and 29.4%, of adolescent never users were susceptible to cigars, cigarettes,hookah and e-cigarettes, respectively; <br />significantly more Hispanic than non-Hispanic adolescents were susceptible to e-cigarettes (32.4%versus 26%,p < 0.01) and cigarettes (19.9%versus 13.9%, <br />p < 0.05).Product-specific items were significantly and consistently associated with the respective underlying susceptibility product construct and across ethnic <br />groups(p < 0.001 for all).Susceptibility to e-cigarettes(AOR=2.28-6.64)or any combustible product(cigarettes,hookah,cigars;AOR=3.38-5.20)significantly <br />predicted subsequent ever use.This study confirms the appropriateness of the susceptibility construct across four tobacco product types and ethnic groups,and the <br />utility of susceptibility in predicting future product use among adolescents. <br />1. Introduction use tobacco products in the future,is a critical construct,predictive of <br />tobacco use and amenable to intervention. Research examining the <br />Use of conventional tobacco products,like cigarettes and cigars,has initial susceptibility construct based on behavioral intentions,peer in- <br />decreased in recent years among adolescents, while use of tobacco fluence, and self-efficacy(Pierce et al., 1996) demonstrated that com- <br />products, like e-cigarettes and hookah, continues to increase (Singh prehensive community anti-smoking media programs, are effective in <br />et al., 2016).These trends and the growing popularity of specific pro- altering and suppressing adolescents' susceptibility to smoking <br />ducts call for identifying risk factors that predict product use initiation. (Meshack et al., 2004). A revised measure of the susceptibility con- <br />Numerous studies have demonstrated susceptibility to cigarettes among struct, which incorporated curiosity with behavioral intentions and <br />never smoking adolescents is associated with increased risk of experi- peer influence, demonstrated little loss in internal consistency, but a <br />mentation with cigarettes and becoming an established smoker reduction in predictive validity and accuracy (Pierce et al., 2005). To <br />Jackson,1998;Jackson&Dickinson,2004;Nodora et al.,2014;Pierce, date,a few studies have assessed whether the original susceptibility to <br />Choi,Gilpin,Farkas,&Merritt,1996;Pierce,Distefan,Kaplan,&Gilpin, cigarettes construct(Pierce et al.,1996)also can be adapted to measure <br />2005; Spelman et al., 2009; Strong et al., 2015; Unger, Johnson, susceptibility to other products, like e-cigarettes, hookah, and cigars <br />Stoddard, Nezami, &Chou, 1997). Limited research suggests that sus- (e.g.,Bold et al.,2017;Lechner et al.,2018),and none have examined <br />ceptibility to e-cigarettes or hookah independently predicts future e- the susceptibility construct that includes curiosity. Yet, recent survey <br />cigarette (Bold, Kong, Cavallo, Camenga, & Krishnan-Sarin, 2017) or data suggest that the most common reason for adolescents to try e- <br />hookah use(Lipkus,Reboussin,Wolfson,&Sutfin,2015),respectively, cigarettes is out of curiosity (Kong, Morean, Cavallo, Camenga, & <br />and that susceptibility to cigarettes predicts future e-cigarette and cigar Krishnan-Sarin, 2015; Patrick et al., 2016). Thus, utilizing a suscept- <br />use(Cole,Kennedy,Chaurasia,&Leatherdale, 2017).Still,few studies ibility construct that includes curiosity might be particularly useful to <br />have examined product-specific susceptibility measures in predicting our understanding of susceptibility to non-cigarette tobacco products. <br />future use of products other than cigarettes. Additionally, no studies have assessed whether the susceptibility <br />Susceptibility,which reflects the lack of a firm commitment not to construct (Pierce et al., 2005) functions equally across ethnic groups. <br />Corresponding author. <br />E-mail address:Melissa.B.Harrell@uth.tmc.edu(M.B.Harrell). <br />https://doi.org/10.1016/j.abrep.2018.08.005 <br />Received 17 April 2018;Received in revised form 3 August 2018;Accepted 16 August 2018 <br />Available online 18 August 2018 <br />2352-8532/©2018 The Authors.Published by Elsevier Ltd.This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license <br />http://creativeco mmo ns.orgAicenses/BY-NC-ND/4.O/).