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<br />44 <br />4826-7904-2280v7/200434-0005 <br />Certain Risks Associated with Sales Tax and Other Local Tax Revenues <br />For the past several Fiscal Years, sales tax revenues, including the Bradley-Burns allocation and the <br />Measure X district add-on, have been the largest source of General Fund revenues to the City. Measure X, a 1- <br />1/2 cent sales tax measure that was adopted in 2018 and expires in 2039, is expected to contribute a significant <br />amount of revenue available for General Fund obligations of the City in the future. See the caption “CITY <br />FINANCIAL INFORMATION—Sales Taxes.” <br />Sales and use tax revenues are based upon the gross receipts of retail sales of tangible goods and products <br />by retailers with taxable transactions in the City, which could be impacted by a variety of factors. For example, <br />during an economic recession, the gross receipts of retailers often decline, and such a decline would cause the <br />sales tax revenues received by the City to decline. An economic recession would also be expected to affect hotel <br />occupancy within the City, and consequently, the amount of hotel visitor’s taxes the City will receive. See the <br />caption “THE CITY—COVID-19 Outbreak,” “CITY FINANCIAL INFORMATION—Sales Taxes” and <br />“CITY FINANCIAL INFORMATION—Other Taxes.” Also, many categories of transactions are exempt from <br />the Statewide sales tax, and additional categories could be exempted in the future. Currently, most sales of food <br />products for human consumption, except for liquor and restaurant meals, are exempt from the Statewide sales <br />tax. The rate of sales and use tax levied on taxable transactions in the City or the fee charged by the State Board <br />of Equalization for administering the City’s sales tax could also be changed. <br />In addition, changes or amendments by voter initiative could have an adverse effect on sales tax <br />revenues received by the City. See the caption “CONSTITUTIONAL AND STATUTORY LIMITATIONS ON <br />TAXES AND APPROPRIATIONS.” <br />Assessed Value of Taxable Property <br />Property taxes are the second largest source of the City’s General Fund revenues. Natural and economic <br />forces can affect the assessed value of taxable property within the City. The City is located in a seismically <br />active region, and damage from an earthquake in or near the area could cause extensive damage to taxable <br />property. Other natural or manmade disasters, such as flood, fire, wildfire, ongoing drought, toxic dumping, <br />erosion or acts of terrorism, could cause a reduction in the assessed value of taxable property within the City. <br />See the captions “—Natural Disasters” and “—Hazardous Substances.” <br />In addition, economic and market forces, such as a downturn in the regional economy, could affect <br />assessed values, particularly as these forces might reverberate in the residential housing and commercial property <br />markets as has been experienced in the past. Also, the total assessed value can be reduced through the <br />reclassification of taxable property to a class exempt from taxation, whether by ownership or use (such as <br />exemptions for property owned by State and local agencies and property used for qualified educational, hospital, <br />charitable or religious purposes). <br />Reductions in the market values of taxable property may cause property owners to appeal assessed <br />values and may also be associated with an increase in delinquency rates for property taxes. Section 2(b) of <br />Article XIIIA of the State Constitution and Section 51 of the State Revenue and Taxation Code, which were <br />adopted pursuant to Proposition 8, which was adopted in 1978, require the County assessor to annually enroll <br />either a property’s adjusted base year value (the “Proposition 13 Value”) or its current market value, whichever <br />is less. When the current market value replaces the higher Proposition 13 Value on the assessor’s roll, such <br />lower value is referred to as the “Proposition 8 Value.” <br />Although the annual increase for a Proposition 13 Value is limited to no more than 2%, the same <br />restriction does not apply to a Proposition 8 Value. The Proposition 8 Value of a property is reviewed annually <br />as of January 1; the current market value must be enrolled as long as the Proposition 8 Value falls below the <br />Proposition 13 Value. Thus, any subsequent increase or decrease in market value is enrolled regardless of any <br />percentage increase or decrease. Only when a current Proposition 8 Value exceeds the Proposition 13 Value