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and 610 programs in the region of study that may train for these occupations. Of these programs,
<br />there were 86,656 program participant completions in 2019 and 196,852 job openings that
<br />needed to be filled.
<br />
<br />Identified in the table below are the occupations with the highest projected skills gap for Orange
<br />County between 2015 and 2025. This analysis indicates a continued need to identify strategies
<br />to fulfill training needs in various high-gap occupational areas. The research includes data based
<br />on the following:
<br />• Occupations where the 2020 median income hourly wage is higher than $16.00 an hour
<br />• Openings greater than 10 (openings represent replacement jobs and Bureau of Labor
<br />Statistics(BLS) growth estimates)
<br />• Entry-level education that was greater than a postsecondary nondegree award and equal
<br />to or less than a bachelor’s degree
<br />• Top 15 occupations with a skills gap greater than zero (skills gap is the difference between
<br />the projected openings and completions)
<br />• The Openings figure estimates the change in growth and replacement jobs (Growth +
<br />Replacements = Openings). Growth captures the change in the total number of workers
<br />employed in an occupation. At the same time, replacement jobs are estimates of workers
<br />permanently leaving a career and needing to be replaced by new hires. A combination of
<br />both numbers indicates total openings.
<br />
<br />Skills Gap by Occupation 21
<br />SOC Description 2020
<br />Jobs
<br />2025
<br />Jobs
<br />2020 -
<br />2025
<br />Change
<br />2020 -
<br />2025
<br />Replace-
<br />ment Jobs
<br />2020 -
<br />2025
<br />Openings
<br />Regional
<br />Comple-
<br />tions
<br />(2019)
<br />Skills
<br />Gap
<br />Median
<br />Hourly
<br />Earnings
<br />Typical Entry
<br />Level
<br />Education
<br />43-3031 Bookkeeping, Accounting, and
<br />Auditing Clerks 20,984 20,603 (381) 11,058 13,243 676 12,567 $22.58 Some college,
<br />no degree
<br />25-9045 Teaching Assistants, Except
<br />Postsecondary 11,752 12,207 455 5,678 7,391 45 7,346 $17.63 Some college,
<br />no degree
<br />53-3032 Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck
<br />Drivers 10,600 10,908 308 5,433 6,891 133 6,758 $22.92 Postsecondary
<br />nondegree
<br />31-1131 Nursing Assistants 9,546 10,594 1,049 5,118 7,441 1,178 6,263 $16.75 Postsecondary
<br />nondegree
<br />31-9092 Medical Assistants 8,628 9,548 920 4,476 6,496 2,156 4,340 $17.62
<br />Postsecondary
<br />nondegree
<br />award
<br />31-9011 Massage Therapists 4,714 5,489 775 2,556 4,013 1,097 2,916 $16.96 Postsecondary
<br />nondegree
<br />23-2011 Paralegals and Legal Assistants 4,308 4,662 354 2,143 3,009 174 2,835 $22.87 Associate
<br />degree
<br />49-3023 Automotive Service Technicians
<br />and Mechanics 6,645 6,526 (119) 2,867 3,435 608 2,827 $21.99 Postsecondary
<br />nondegree
<br />31-9091 Dental Assistants 5,617 5,799 182 2,846 3,648 1,295 2,353 $19.39 Postsecondary
<br />nondegree
<br />43-4151 Order Clerks 3,576 3,337 (240) 1,826 2,211 41 2,170 $17.34 Some college,
<br />no degree
<br />49-9021
<br />Heating, Air Conditioning, and
<br />Refrigeration Mechanics and
<br />Installers
<br />3,944 4,182 238 1,727 2,354 262 2,092 $29.66 Postsecondary
<br />nondegree
<br />15-1232 Computer User Support
<br />Specialists 7,826 8,244 418 2,690 3,724 1,647 2,077 $26.56 Some college,
<br />no degree
<br />29-2061 Licensed Practical and Licensed
<br />Vocational Nurses 6,214 6,894 680 2,254 3,520 1,506 2,014 $28.94 Postsecondary
<br />nondegree
<br />21 EMSI Labor Market Analytics, 2021, www.economicmodeling.com.
<br />EXHIBIT 1
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