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DOWDALL LAW OFFICES <br />A PROFESSIONAL CORPORATION <br />ATTORNEYS AT LAW <br />City of Santa Ana <br />August 28, 2023 <br />Page 7 <br />buildings with five or more apartments. Rent control in San Francisco consists of regulated rent <br />increases, linked to the CPI, within a tenancy, but no price regulation between tenants. New <br />construction was exempt from rent control, since legislators did not want to discourage new <br />development. Smaller multi -family buildings were exempt from this 1979 law change since they <br />were viewed as more "mom and pop" ventures, and did not have market power over rents. <br />This exemption was lifted by a 1994 San Francisco ballot initiative. Proponents of the <br />initiative argued that small multi -family housing was now primarily owned by large businesses <br />and should face the same rent control of large multi -family housing. Since the initial 1979 rent <br />control law only impacted properties built from 1979 and earlier, the removal of the small <br />multi -family exemption also only affected properties built 1979 and earlier. This led to a <br />differential expansion in rent control in 1994 based on whether the small multi -family housing <br />was built prior to or post 1980 a policy experiment where otherwise similar housing was <br />treated differently by the law. <br />To examine rent control's effects on tenant migration and neighborhood choices, DMQ <br />examine panel data that provides address -level migration decisions and housing characteristics <br />for the majority of adults living in San Francisco in the early 1990s. This allows them to define a <br />treatment group of renters who lived in small multi -family apartment buildings built prior to <br />1980 and a control group of renters living in small multi -family housing built between 1980 and <br />1990. Their data allows them to follow each of these groups over time up until the present, <br />regardless of where they migrate. <br />Between five and ten years after the law change, the beneficiaries of rent control are 19 <br />percent less likely to have moved to a new address, relative to the control group's migration rate. <br />Further, impact on the likelihood of remaining in San Francisco as whole was the same, <br />indicating a large share of the renters that rent control caused to remain at their 1994 address <br />would have left San Francisco had they not been covered by rent control. <br />These effects are significantly stronger among older households and among households <br />that have already spent a number of years at their address prior to treatment. This is consistent <br />with the fact that both of these populations are likely to be less mobile. Renters who don't need <br />to move very often are more likely to find it worthwhile to remain in their rent controlled <br />apartment for a long time, enabling them to accrue larger rent savings. Finally, DMQ find these <br />effects are especially large for racial minorities, likely indicating that minorities faced greater <br />displacement pressures in San Francisco than whites. <br />While expansion of rent control did prevent some displacement among tenants living in <br />San Francisco in 1994, the landlords of these properties responded to mitigate their rental losses <br />in a number of ways. In practice, landlords have a few possible ways of removing tenants. First, <br />-7- <br />