75-057 - Laserfiche WebLink

Home Browse Search

For every four persons moving into the County. approximately three move out. The net migration flow from Los Angeles County is the only significantly positive migration into Orange County. For every five 'persons moving here from Los Angeles, only two persons move to Los Angeles. All of the counties in the State and the total of all other states have close ' to zero or a negative migration into the County. The three major points of origin of people moving into the County are: Los Angeles, 56. 3 percent; out-of-state, 23.1 percent; and San Diego, 3.9 percent. Thc five major destinations.of persons moving out of the County are: out-of-state, 31.2 percent; Los Angeles, 30. 8 percent; San Diego, 7.5 percent; Riverside, 6.5 percent; and San Bernardino, 3.9 percent. The County's migration flow is dependent on the state and national natural net increases and on interstate migration flows. There has been a downward trend in both natural increase and migration into California. This produces a smaller reservoir of new population available for migration into new areas. Assuming that massive areas of the already urbanized regions of the state do not become deserted, there will be between 300, 000 and 350, 000 potential migrants per year in the state during the next five years. If the past migration trends remain the same for the next five years, this would create between 25, 000 and 35,000 net annual average in-migrants int° Orange County. There are, however, several major trends which could alter this trend. One major factor is the relative attractiveness of Orange County, It is conceivable that as the problems of other urban concentrations increase, Orange County and other new areas will become even more desirable, and thus cause many urban areas to lose population. In small amounts, this loss could be balanced by a reduction in the fam'~ly size and fewer persons per dwelling unit in this areas; in large amounts, the loss would result in abandoment of sections of the older cities. Both of these results can already be seen in many cities. On the other hand, Orange County's image of newness could be tarnished by the occurence of many of the problems of fast growth and a denser urban environment. In this case, migration into the County would level off. If Orange County begins to develop the problems associated with older urban areas, it could conceiva- bly lose population at some time in the future. Another limiting factor of migration is housing avail- ability. Orange County could remain highly attractive, but become economically unavailable to most people so that the potentially-.available migrants cannot relocate here. 000046