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<br />Vulnerability Assessment (Part 2 of the Risk Assessment) <br />The vulnerability assessment will identify and rank potential targets in the UAs. URS will review the list of <br />over 65 high-risk targets identified in the 2004 plan and based on our familiarity with the County, we will <br />assess if any obvious targets are missing. If Caltrans, Southern California Edison and the Southern <br />California Gas Company were not included in the identification of the initial target list. we will work with <br />law enforcement representatives in the UA's to obtain target information from these entities. <br /> <br />When documenting the basic vulnerability assessment for each target, the following will be inciuded: <br />Levei of visibility, Criticality of the target site to the UA. Impact outside the UA. PTE access to the target, <br />Potentiai target threat of the hazard, Potential target site population capacity, and Potential collaterai <br />mass casualties. Additionally. when developing the site-specific vulnerability assessment. we will identity <br />specific vulnerabilities unique to the potential target and provide general recommendations for reducing <br />potential vulnerabilities. <br /> <br />URS will use a tiered approach to ranking the targets. As the complete list of potential targets is compiled, <br />all potential targets will be entered into an Access database that URS has specifically developed for UASI <br />target ranking. We will first conduct a screening-level ranking of all of the potential targets using the ODP <br />Assessment model. This will provide an inexpensive preliminary screening-Ievei ranking of the targets <br />and includes the elements of the basic vulnerability assessment specified in the RFP (i.e. level of <br />visibility. criticality of the target, impact outside the UA, etc.). The results of this screening level analysis <br />will be presented to the UA steering committee for consensus. The use of a simple Access database will <br />allow an "on-the-f1y" look at what-if scenarios related to changing scores for various elements for specific <br />sites during the steering committee meeting. This ability was instrumental in facilitating consensus to the <br />target ranking in the San Diego UASI vulnerability assessment. Interviews will also be conducted with the <br />stakeholders in the consensus-building process. <br /> <br />If the top ten infrastructure targets do not emerge in the preliminary screening-level. a secondary <br />screening-level analysis will be conducted for up to 15 targets in each UA using the Carver model. The <br />Carver model is similar to the ODP Assessment model, but it provides a higher level of specificity for a <br />number of the vulnerability elements. It should be noted that any facility in the County that has developed <br />a Buffer Zone Protection Plan (BZPP) will already have a Carver model analysis and the 15 sites selected <br />will supplement the BZPP sites. Results of this modeling will also be presented to the UA steering <br />committee for discussion and consensus. and the top 10 infrastructure sites in each UA will be identified. <br /> <br />Additionally for the top 10 targets. we propose to conduct a more detailed level analysis using the <br />Homeland Security Comprehensive Assessment Model (HLS-CAM). HLS-CAM was developed by the <br />National Domestic Preparedness Coalition Inc. (NDPCI). NDPCI is a non-profit. public I private <br />partnership, whose leadership includes the West Virginia National Guard, the West Virginia University <br />School of Medicine, and the Sheriff's Office. Orange County. Florida. The model was derived from a <br />collection of sources including U.S. Department of Justice Office of Justice Programs Manual: The CIA <br />Fact-book; U.S. Army FM100-37; U.S Army TC19-16; U.S. Army FM34-130; Training Guidance to West <br />Virginia National Guard from the Defense Threat Reduction Agency (DTRA); <br /> <br />Page 10 of 51 <br />