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While the nation waits for signs that the economy is rebounding, all indications are that the <br />decline in the economy has finally leveled off. However, there are events that are occurring <br />that could derail any speedy recovery or relapse into a lingering recession. Primarily the current <br />European debt crisis has the potential to negatively impact the US financial markets and thrust <br />the US economy into another downward spiral. On the home front, the most critical sector that <br />could have a major impact on the nation's economic recovery is commercial real estate. Many <br />institutions are beginning to feel the effects of commercial real estate loan failures. It is <br />estimated that the largest commercial real estate loan losses will occur in 2011 and could be as <br />high as $200 -$300 billion. How the financial markets react to these events will be important for <br />a sustained recovery. <br />Even with these events looming on the horizon, there are some mixed signals that could mark <br />the beginning of a slow recovery. Although commercial real estate poses great concern, <br />residential real estate has shown some indication that the worse is behind us. Unfortunately, <br />the City will continue to feel the effects of lower property values for a few years. In addition, <br />unemployment has eased but is still at unprecedented high levels. T he national average <br />remains at 9.6 %, California at 12.6 %, while Santa Ana is estimated at 14.8 %. Obviously, these <br />rates have a direct impact on consumer spending and on the City's sales tax revenue. Overall, <br />we anticipate a very slow recovery and growth in our revenue. In the meantime, ensuring <br />long -term financial stability for Santa Ana will require the courage to significantly reduce <br />expenditures. In order to provide quality City programs and services so they are financially <br />sustainable in the future, the City must look to reinvent itself through the elimination of <br />redundancies, by consolidating programs, contracting out, and seeking assistance from the <br />various bargaining groups on wages and benefits. <br />Budget Overview <br />The total estimated revenue for all city funds for FY 2010 -2011 is $446,053,320. Of this amount <br />$84.9 million represents the water, sewer, sanitation and refuse funds; $33.6 million comes <br />from grants and other special revenues for restrictive programs; $28.7 million from grants for <br />capital projects; $101.7 million comes from redevelopment and housing assistance; and $197.1 <br />million represents the General Fund. <br />Total budgeted appropriations for all city funds for 2010 -2011 is $472,518,919 whic In is a <br />decrease of 16.7% (or $94.6M) when compared to the prior year budget. Fiscal year 2010 -2011 <br />budget includes a capital improvement budget of $43.0 million; a water, sewer, sanitation and <br />refuse budget of $92.3 million; redevelopment and housing budget of $100.6 million; special <br />revenues and grants of $39.5 million; and a General Fund budget of $197.1 million. <br />The General Fund budget supports the functions most commonly associated with city <br />government: police, fire, recreation, library, planning and building, street maintenance, and <br />general city administration. These services are being provided to an increasing population. <br />According to the State Department of Finance, Santa Ana's population in January 2010 was <br />357,754 which is over a 50 percent increase over the past 20+ years. The General Fund's four <br />largest revenue sources comprise 56.4% of total General Fund revenues. Those revenue <br />-3- <br />