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Project Study Methodology <br />analysis zone (TAZ) system which encompasses the five (5) counties in the Southern California region. <br />The primary focus of the modeling area is Orange County. <br />The OCTAM 3.3 model uses the latest adopted demographic forecasts, commonly referred to as <br />Orange County Projections, adopted in 2006 (OCP- 2006). The OCP -2006 demographic forecasts <br />include data in 5 year increments through 2035 and are the official Orange County forecasts. The <br />growth in housing, population, and employment included in the OCP -2006 demographic projections is <br />consistent with the anticipated growth that is expected in conjunction with the cities' General Plan land <br />use and circulation elements. <br />The latest OCTAM 3.3 model data were used as the basis for producing the refined 2035 future <br />intersection turning movement volumes based on the algorithm obtained from the report Highway <br />Traffic Data for Urbanized Area Project Planning and Design (National Cooperative Highway Research <br />Program Report 255, Transportation Research Board, 1952, pp. 105 -109), commonly referred to as <br />NCHRP -255. Minor manual adjustments have been conducted for traffic flow conservation and <br />reasonableness checks. Appendix C includes the initial refined 2035 turning movement volumes for <br />each intersection from the OCTAM model based on the NCHRP -255 methodology. <br />Significant impact Criteria <br />The City of Santa Ana, City of Costa Mesa, and City of Irvine have similar but slightly different significant <br />impact criteria to identify intersections that can be categorized as either satisfactory or deficient, so that <br />appropriate mitigation measures can be made for non - satisfactory intersections to bring them to <br />satisfactory operating conditions. The City of Santa Ana's project impact analysis criteria indicate: <br />• A significant project impact occurs when the ICU value increases by greater than .01 and achieves <br />unacceptable level of service ( "E" or "F" ). <br />Since no relevant unsignalized intersections are included in the study, the criteria for unsignalized <br />intersections are not listed herein. <br />The significant impact criteria provided above are based on the City's General Plan. In addition, projects <br />must also comply with the Orange County Congestion Management Plan (CMP) criteria. The CMP <br />specifies that a project cannot be allowed to reduce level of service or increase flow by more than 3% at <br />a location that is forecast to experience Level of Service E or F, generally. This criterion is generally less <br />stringent than the City's criteria, so any project that meets the City General Plan criteria will also <br />normally meet the County CMP criteria. <br />KOA CORPORATION Updated Main and MacArthur Development Project <br />PLANNING & ENGINEERING 7 Traffic Impact Study in City of Santa Ana <br />