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HARBOR BLVD. MIXED USE TRANSIT CORRIDOR PLAN FINAL FIR <br />CITY OF SANTA ANA <br />5. Environmental Analysis <br />GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS <br />Plan.9 For the purpose of this project, SCAQMD's project level thresholds are used because the plan level <br />thresholds are more applicable at a General Plan level. If projects exceed these per capita efficiency targets, <br />GHG emissions would be considered potentially significant in the absence of mitigation measures. <br />5.5.3 Environmental Impacts <br />Methodology <br />The analysis in this section is based on buildout of the proposed land use plan as modeled using the <br />California Emissions Estimator Model (CalEEMod); trip generation provided by IBI Group (Appendix H of <br />this EIR) as modeled using the Orange County Transportation Analysis Model (OCTAM) (see Appendix H <br />to this EIR); waste generation based on waste generation rates provided by the California Department of <br />Resources Recycling and Recovery (CalRecycle); and water and wastewater generation based on the Santa Ana <br />Water Utility's 2010 Urban Water Management Plan (UWMP). Life cycle emissions are not included in this <br />analysis because not enough information is available for the proposed project, and therefore life cycle GHG <br />emissions would be speculative. 10 GHG modeling is included in Appendix C. <br />The following impact analysis addresses thresholds of significance for which the Initial Study disclosed <br />potentially significant impacts. The applicable thresholds are identified in brackets after the impact statement. <br />Impact 5.5 -1: Development of the proposed land uses within the Harbor Boulevard Mixed Use Transit <br />Corridor Plan would not result in a substantial increase of GHG emissions that would <br />exceed the South Coast Air Quality Management District's proposed efficiency target of <br />4.8 MTCO2e. [Threshold GHG -11 <br />impact Analysis: A project does not generate enough GHG emissions on its own to influence global <br />climate change; therefore, the GHG chapter measures a project's contribution to the cumulative <br />environmental impact. The development contemplated by the proposed project would contribute to global <br />climate change through direct emissions of GHG from onsite area sources and vehicle trips generated by the <br />project, and indirectly through offsite energy production required for onsite activities, water use, and waste <br />disposal. Annual GHG emissions were calculated for construction and operation of the project. Construction <br />emissions were amortized into the operational phase in accordance with SCAQMD's proposed methodology. <br />The total and net increases in GHG emissions associated with the proposed project are shown in Table 5.5 -4. <br />9 SCAQMD took the 2020 statewide GHG reduction target for land - use -only GHG emissions sectors and divided it by the 2020 <br />statewide employment for the land use sectors to derive a per capita GHG efficiency metric that coincides with the GHG reduction <br />targets of AB 32 for year 2020. <br />10 Life cycle emissions include indirect emissions associated with materials manufacture. However, these indirect emissions involve <br />numerous parties, each of which is responsible for GHG emissions of their particular activity. The California Resources Agency, in <br />adopting the CEQA Guidelines Amendments on GHG emissions found that lifecycie analyses was not warranted for project specific <br />CEQA analysis in most situations, for a variety of reasons, including lack of control over some sources, and the possibility of double - <br />counting emissions (see Final Statement of Reasons for Regulatory Action, December 2009). Because the amount of materials <br />consumed during the operation or construction of the proposed project is not known, the origin of the raw materials purchased is not <br />known, and manufacturing information for those raw materials are also not known, calculation of life cycle emissions would be <br />speculative. A life<ycie analysis is not warranted (OPR 2008). <br />October 2014 Page 5.5 -13 <br />