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Mr. Keyvan Pirbazari, PE <br />PBS &J <br />September 10, 2008 <br />Page 2 <br />Task 2 — Traffic Forecast <br />$7,200 <br />Original Scope: Refine the long -range (2025) traffic forecasts included in the Hutton <br />Center Residential Development Traffic Study, previously prepared on December 15, <br />2004, based on existing peak hour traffic count data. The initial estimates of the peak <br />hour turning movement volumes will be reviewed for reasonableness, including the <br />review of traffic flow conservation and peak -to -daily volume ratios. Where necessary, the <br />initial model estimates will be adjusted to achieve flow conservation, reasonable growth, <br />and plausible diversion between parallel routes. <br />It is assumed that Caltrans will accept 2025 as the analysis year for the PRS /PS traffic <br />analysis and additional model runs will not be required. If Caltrans wants the analysis <br />based on 2030 or 2035 values, however, it is assumed that the required traffic volumes <br />will be extrapolated from the 2025 traffic volumes in the Hutton Center Residential <br />Development Traffic Study, and a model run will not be necessary. <br />Work Performed: The approach and parameters of Task 2 has been changed <br />substantially based on the direction provided by OCTA and Caltrans. The original <br />analysis performed was based on model forecasts and not the 2025 traffic forecast <br />included in the Hutton Center traffic study to 2030 conditions as described in the original <br />scope of work.. <br />Using the "unconstrained" OCTAM traffic model forecasts required a significant amount <br />of additional time and effort than was anticipated in the original scope of work. <br />Additional Scope: Refine the long -range (2030) traffic forecasts to demonstrate <br />consistency with the following: <br />• The Hutton Center Residential Development Traffic Study <br />• Mainline Freeway forecasts using the Freeway Performance Measurement <br />System (PeMS) data. <br />• 2007 traffic count data <br />• Recent draft traffic operations analysis in support of the SR -55 PSR. <br />Traffic analysis in Task 4 through Task 5 have also been revised due to traffic forecast <br />changes. <br />Task 3 — Traffic Study Scoping $0 <br />Original Scope: Prepare and present traffic study scope to City of Santa Ana, Caltrans <br />and City of Irvine staff for review and approval. <br />Work Performed: PBS &J requested that the traffic study be submitted to Caltrans for <br />their review without prior review of the traffic study scope by Caltrans. Task 3 is <br />completed since Caltrans has now reviewed the traffic study. <br />Additional Scope: No additional scope. <br />